Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 96.828403 110.168018 125.358341 144.083341 166.748062 193.558307 2.280709e+02
2025-04-27 82.011641 100.091534 122.783790 153.972630 196.741395 254.941351 3.431466e+02
2025-05-04 69.919906 89.139120 114.800338 152.715765 209.445411 295.077813 4.428355e+02
2025-05-11 62.447384 82.368261 110.302339 154.092759 224.649743 341.440277 5.692256e+02
2025-05-18 55.899061 75.678828 104.490215 151.835504 232.905493 378.097231 6.944003e+02
2025-05-25 51.600417 71.541333 101.624539 153.306275 247.177171 429.147072 8.749063e+02
2025-06-01 47.649021 67.381983 98.040623 152.752242 257.404557 475.403746 1.072962e+03
2025-06-08 44.002830 63.261656 93.934361 150.482542 263.660993 515.244523 1.282626e+03
2025-06-15 42.239495 61.897731 94.124807 155.878596 286.463264 601.393105 1.708597e+03
2025-06-22 38.695910 57.306388 88.310245 149.029026 281.552940 616.978517 1.905739e+03
2025-06-29 36.512881 54.771071 85.791385 148.200935 289.938410 671.713602 2.325561e+03
2025-07-06 34.641731 52.595921 83.673179 147.835237 299.325111 733.707090 2.871768e+03
2025-07-13 33.569566 51.860931 84.387048 154.141573 328.733450 880.584997 4.248716e+03
2025-07-20 33.030797 52.031103 86.863604 164.908835 374.255178 1121.380089 7.285756e+03
2025-07-27 31.174843 49.665070 84.172079 163.527372 385.563866 1241.760576 1.001108e+04
2025-08-03 29.810251 48.072050 82.817313 165.036324 406.219006 1423.853770 1.522799e+04
2025-08-10 28.194663 45.879705 80.017028 162.562590 413.689468 1552.377415 2.144447e+04
2025-08-17 27.101380 44.582658 78.920690 164.174274 435.576702 1786.157040 3.610112e+04
2025-08-24 25.911384 43.008490 77.080758 163.567102 449.764853 1996.602728 6.016432e+04
2025-08-31 24.669298 41.245816 74.672454 161.080431 456.438311 2171.225759 9.849038e+04
2025-09-07 24.171494 40.901492 75.303798 166.994210 498.278496 2684.394667 3.164539e+05
2025-09-14 22.727392 38.584572 71.368011 159.488579 482.895950 2698.593088 4.570013e+05
2025-09-21 21.856096 37.365514 69.799622 158.581892 495.658501 3006.164700 1.443503e+06